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Thematic Research Area 2 - Impacts and Adaptation

This pictures show the flood in Cork City Centre in November 2009

The Irish climate is changing in line with global and regional trends.  Adaptation and mitigation are essential elements in addressing the challenges and opportunities of climate change.  Mitigation refers to efforts to limit the human induced causes of climate change, while adaptation addresses the impacts and opportunities resulting from climate change.

Even if the world succeeds in limiting and then reducing GHG emissions, our planet will take time to recover from the greenhouse gases already in the atmosphere. Thus, we will still be faced with the impacts of climate change. We need therefore to take measures to adapt.

Adaptation is defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change  (IPCC) as “adjustments in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, which moderate harm or exploit beneficial opportunities” (IPCC, 2007).

The challenge for policy-makers, planners and environmental decision makers is to understand how the timing and magnitude of impacts may be affected by changes in climate and sea level rise associated with differing amounts and rates of change in global average temperature. See Figure 1 below.


Figure 1: Key impacts as a function of increasing global average temperature change ( Source IPCC 2007: Working Group II Summary for policy makers and Technical Summary  Figure SPM.2.)

Once the impacts of climate change are understood, environmental decision makers then need to develop and implement strategies to ensure an optimal level of adaptation. Strategies focused on managing and conserving water, land and biological resources to maintain and restore healthy, effectively functioning and climate change-resilient ecosystems are one way to deal impacts. However, adaptation strategies should not be restricted to an analysis of the impacts of climate change but should also seek out opportunities for innovations in processes, technology and governance. 

Research and policy support

The objective of the thematic area impacts and adaptation is to provide improved analysis of climate change, its future impacts and adaptation options for Ireland. This involves:

  • Development of monitoring and observation systems;
  • Refining models to determine the impacts of climate change on the Irish environment;
  • Identification of measures to enhance our capacity to adapt (building adaptive capacity) and taking advantage of the opportunities presented by climate change;
  • Making information available for those responsible for policy, planning and environmental decision making

Research is targeted on:

  • Determining the rates and extent of changes in natural and managed systems that are attributable to climate change;
  • Improving projections of future climate conditions in Ireland at temporal and spatial scale appropriate to impacts analyses;
  • Assessing future climate change impacts at national, regional and local scales in order to determine vulnerabilities and resilience to climate impact
  • Refining models, developing tools and systems to inform decision makers on policy, planning and investment options in adaptation
  • Supporting the development and implementation of a national adaptation strategy
  • Making climate change information available to a variety of end users
  • Engaging with international bodies and groups that are advancing climate observation and analyses systems, forecasting, impacts analysis, vulnerability and adaptation actions.

Projects currently being funded in this research area

Project Title   Institution Project aims 

Extremes weather, climate and natural disasters in Ireland 

http://wiki.ucc.ie/extreme-weather

 UCC

Commenced Jan 2008-completed April 2009.  Preliminary findings: West coast of Ireland experiencing storms of increased frequency and severity since the last quarter of the 20th century.

Climate Change impacts on phenology

 http://www.tcd.ie/Botany/phenology

 TCD  Commenced July 2008-expected completion November 2011.  Aims: establish phenology network, identification existing phenological datasets and statistical analysis, phenological modelling.
Coordination, communication and adaptation for climate change in Ireland  NUIM  Commenced January 2008-expected completion September 2011.  Aims to develop analysis of climate change impacts for key areas and sectors and develop tools for information provision in support of the implementation of adaptation actions.

Adaptive management for climate change adaptation

http://cmrc.ucc.ie/pages/K_project_page.php?project_code=clad

UCC

Commenced April 2009-expected completion June 2012.  Aims to develop participation framework to engage decision makers in the context of uncertainity around climate change adaptation.

HydroDetect: The Identification and Assessment of Climate Change Indicators for Irish Benchmark Network  NUIM  HydroDetect will develop criteria for identifying a network of hydrometric gauges to allow strategic and focused investment in climate change monitoring. Early-bird catchments for climate change detection will be identified to guide focused and strategic investment in monitoring and contribute to policy development effecting anticipatory adaptation to climate change
Current and Future Vulnerabilities to Climate Change in Ireland NUIM, AIMS The aim of the project  is  to provide an overall perspective on vulnerability to climate change in Ireland.    The objectives are to: 1)assess the current and future vulnerabilities of sectors and areas, including those of natural systems, economic and social groups and major infrastructure to climate change and: 2) prioritise key sectors/areas for future further analysis.  The assessment will be used to inform the development of national policy on adaptation. It will also assist in sectoral and local level decision making.
Climate Information Platform for Ireland  UCC The goal of this project is to develop a Climate Information Platform for Ireland. The project aims to develop a ‘one stop shop’ for climate information that will be strongly driven by user-needs and a specially constituted evaluator network. The Platform will be implemented in a two phase process based on a flexible architectural design, where management of technical risk associated with evolving technologies, standards, and stakeholder needs is key.


Climate Change Research Reports

Download the report Summary of the state of knowledge on climate change impacts for Ireland 

Check out the latest Climate Change Research reports



International research networks:

CIRCLE (Climate Impact Research Coordination for a Larger Europe)

PEER (Partnership for European Environmental Research)



International Policy making networks

EIONET (The European Environment Information and Observation Network)

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)



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Funding opportunities