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Project title

Future projection of atmospheric and oceanic impacts on Sea Level at Arctic and near-Arctic coastlines (Future ISLA)

Primary Funding Agency

Marine Institute

Co-Funding Organisation(s)

Lead Organisation

Maynooth University

Lead Applicant

Not listed

Project Abstract

Global sea level rise and its effects on coastal regions is one of the most critical impacts of global climate change. Global sea level rise is projected to rise for all the IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios. Rates of sea level rise at the end of the century are projected to be higher under all scenarios. These changes are expected to vary geographically with some areas deviating substantially from global average. These affect the climate adaptation planning of regional governments where local knowledge is key. In addition to large scale factors such as ice melt fingerprints and land motion, regional changes in mean sea level and sea level extremes can be linked to projected ocean and atmospheric dynamic changes. The North Atlantic circulation and mid-latitudes atmosphere has a major impact on the climate system and marine environment of the Arctic and periphery, including Ireland. Changes in the sea level in the North Atlantic are modulated by mid-latitude weather and oceanic conditions. A good understanding of the state of the ocean and related weather dynamics offers insight to assess the scale of the risk and associated opportunities for the growing blue economy, infrastructure, and tourism. This project will focus on Ireland-Arctic teleconnections and advance the state of the art of (1) mid-latitude climate (atmospheric and oceanic) drivers of Arctic environmental change and (2) understand the environmental consequences, specifically the future coastal vulnerability, in the Arctic and periphery (including Ireland) resulting from global climate change.

Grant Approved

�399,093.00

Research Hub

Climate Change

Research Theme

2. Ireland's Future Climate, its Impacts, and Adaptation Options

Start Date

01/12/2023

Initial Projected Completion Date

30/11/2027