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Project Code [2012-CCRP-PhD.3]
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Project title
Extreme events in calibrated climate models: impacts for Ireland
Primary Funding Agency
Environmental Protection Agency
Co-Funding Organisation(s)
n/a
Lead Organisation
University College Dublin (UCD)
Lead Applicant
Andrew Parnell
Project Abstract
We will use recently developed methods in statistical spatio-temporal Extreme Value Theory to create a map of changing extreme temperature, precipitation and wind speed over Ireland for the last 60 years. We will then use this map to learn about the biases present in the EURO-CORDEX and EC-EARTH regional climate model predictions over the same time period. Finally, we will use these biases to produce bias-corrected projections of extreme weather for Ireland up to the year 2100. We believe our map of historical changing extremes would be of wide interest to meteorologists and, when combined with our future projections, could be used for wider policy implications not limited to: healthcare provision, flood defense, agriculture and renewable energy. The proposal team consists of a statistician and a climatologist, both working at UCD in the Meteorology and Climate Centre with particular expertise in spatio-temporal statistical modelling and the application and analysis of climate models.
Grant Approved
�73,500.00
Research Hub
Climate Change
Research Theme
Ireland's Future Climate, its Impacts, and Adaptation Options
Initial Projected Completion Date
31/12/2015