Manufacturing & industry

 

Note: These pages present provisional 1990-2021 Inventory data using global warming potentials (GWP) from the IPCC's 5th Assessment Report (AR5) (updated July 2022) and the EPA's latest 2021-2030 projections estimates (updated June 2022) using global warming potentials (GWP) from the IPCC's 4th Assessment Report (AR4).

In 2021 the manufacturing combustion sector was responsible for 7.5% of Ireland's total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions

 

Highlights

Current trends

  • GHG emissions increased by 0.9% in Manufacturing Combustion in 2021
  • The largest increase have been seen in non metallic minerals (+10.5%) which includes cement

Causes 

  • The increase in combustion and process emissions in the cement sector was due to growth in cement production with most plants as the covid related closures lifted

Outlook

  • Emissions projected to decrease 19.3% and 18.3% under WEM and WAM scenarios respectively due to decreases in oil and coal usage for production and hence decreases in combustion emissions.

 

Manufacturing combustion sector

This section shows emissions from combustion in the manufacturing industry. It also includes combustion for combined heat and power for own use in these industries. Emissions from the combustion of fuels in manufacturing increased by 0.9% or 0.04 Mt CO2eq in 2021 compared to 2020 emissions. 

There were decreases in combustion emissions from major sub sectors including chemical and the food processing, beverages and tobacco sector, i.e. 3.2% and 4.4% respectively. However, combustion emissions from non-metallic minerals (including cement) increased significantly by 10.5% and 0.12 Mt CO2eq. 

Projected emissions

(Latest update June 2022)

Under the With Existing Measures scenario, emissions from manufacturing combustion are projected to decrease from 4.5 Mt CO2eq to 3.6 Mt CO2eq between 2020 and 2030.

Under the With Additional Measures scenario, emissions from manufacturing combustion are projected to decrease by 18.3% between 2020 and 2030 to 3.7 Mt CO2 eq. This scenario assumes further rollout of energy efficiency programmes such as SEAI Large Industry Programmes, Accelerated Capital Allowances and the Excellence in Energy Efficiency Design (EXEED) programme.

Industrial processes sector emissions

In 2021 the industrial processes sector was responsible for 4.0% and F-Gases 1.2% of Ireland's total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions

 

Industrial processes sector

The industrial processes sector estimates greenhouse gas emissions occurring from industrial processes, from the use of greenhouse gases in products, and from non-energy uses of fossil fuel carbon.

Emissions from the industrial processes sector increased by 16.8% (0.35 Mt CO₂eq) in 2021 when compared to 2020. Total process emissions from the mineral products subsector (including cement) increased by 18.1% in 2021 compared to 2020 emissions.

In 2021, total emissions (combustion1 and process) from the cement sector increased by 10.5% and amount to 3.13 Mt CO₂eq, or 5.1% of national total emissions. This yearly increase is due to an upturn in cement production levels after a COVID affected year in 2020. Overall, cement sector emissions have increased by 106.2% since 2011.

Industrial processes and product use is the only sector for which emissions of HFCs, PFCs, SF6 and NF3 (collectively known as fluorinated gases or F-gases) are reported in greenhouse gas emission inventories. There is no production of fluorinated gases in Ireland, but these substances are used in activities such as Ireland’s electronics industry and for refrigeration and air conditioning. F-gas emissions were down 0.2% from 2020 to 2021, following a decrease of 14.6% in 2020. This is driven by a reduction in refrigeration and air conditioning emissions. Emissions of F-gases (HFCs, PFCs, SF6 and NF3) were 737.59 kt CO₂ eq in 2021 compared to 35.52 kt CO2 eq in 1990, a 21-fold increase over the time series. However, F-gas emissions have risen from a very low base and only accounted for 1.2% of the national total in 2021.

The main reason behind the more recent decreases in F-gas emissions has been the phasing out of refrigerant and air conditioning gases with high global warming potentials (GWPs), due to the implementation of the F-Gas Regulation 517/2014. These refrigerant gases are being replaced with products containing a blend of HFCs and hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs) with low GWPs in sub category 2.F.1 Refrigeration and Air Conditioning.

 1 Included in manufacturing combustion sector

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Projected emissions

(Latest update June 2022)

For the industrial processes sector emissions are projected to increase by 12.9% between 2020 and 2030 to 2.4 Mt CO2 eq under the With Existing Measures scenario (this is the only emissions scenario for industrial processes, based on available data2). The majority of emissions come from cement and lime industries and the projections

Fluorinated-Gas (F-Gas) emissions are projected to decrease by 11.22% to 0.70 Mt CO2 eq between 2020 and 2030 under the With Existing Measures scenario. This is largely due to the move away from mobile air-conditioning systems in vehicles that contain F-Gases with a high global warming potential.

F-Gas emissions are projected to reduce by 8.65% between 2020 and 2030 to 0.72 Mt CO2 eq under the With Additional Measures scenario. The key difference between both scenarios is the result of the different future uptake rates in heat pumps in each scenario (i.e. more heat pumps being deployed in the With Additional Measures scenario).

 2 This does not include F-gas emissions which have WEM and WAM scenarios discussed separately

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